Full Tilt MTT math and other...

From Richard in the poker forum:

MTT have a larger element of the statistical misfortune (or luck, to those that believe in it) factor than cash games, because of their time span and rising blinds - as this forces you to play a different style and take risks.

Therefore you need a poker edge. How do you get an edge?

Plan ahead.

Know the MTT structure
Know the number of hands to antes/ITM/FT
Know the expected M Zone levels and at what stage they may start to apply
Know the number of PAIR/RED/BLUE hands you expect during each stage
Know the EXACT hands you will push with or make a stack committing call/raise with at each stage, in each position - at each M Zone level.
Know the type of style you will play and the point at which you will change.
Know the EXACT number of chips you need to reach ITM and the expected number of hands you will play
Know the mix of blind/pot steals you will need at each stage.
Know the MINIMUM number of chips you should need to reach ITM (slightly different from EXACT above)
Know the target number of chips you need at the end of the average M Zone colour change.

The above is the MINIMUM you should know before having an edge. Have you ticked all the boxes above? If you have, very good. I haven't yet and I am sure very few have.

It is not about a poker formula (that gimmick only sells books), but forward planning and applying skill and knowledge through a large number of games to go deep ITM and/or onto a final table - because statistically, only 15% get paid.